Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.289361 0.338534 0.390505 0.449238 0.513486 0.581362 0.658223
2025-02-02 0.223809 0.291408 0.367575 0.458591 0.563260 0.678802 0.814929
2025-02-09 0.169021 0.245593 0.337505 0.453185 0.592219 0.751478 0.945236
2025-02-16 0.133803 0.216340 0.321474 0.460023 0.632876 0.836922 1.091528
2025-02-23 0.103090 0.186884 0.300363 0.456780 0.658866 0.904004 1.216775
2025-03-02 0.074384 0.154196 0.269986 0.437384 0.661480 0.940708 1.304675
2025-03-09 0.059057 0.138069 0.259680 0.442446 0.694011 1.013919 1.437595
2025-03-16 0.043673 0.118075 0.240692 0.432968 0.705518 1.059467 1.535826
2025-03-23 0.037087 0.112029 0.241858 0.451554 0.754750 1.153994 1.696958
2025-03-30 0.028497 0.099728 0.231201 0.451318 0.777122 1.213083 1.813105
2025-04-06 0.021936 0.089576 0.222557 0.452917 0.801317 1.274328 1.932309
2025-04-13 0.017690 0.083330 0.219750 0.462944 0.837314 1.351565 2.073006
2025-04-20 0.014551 0.079003 0.220187 0.478524 0.882511 1.443167 2.235524
2025-04-27 0.011853 0.074846 0.220365 0.493485 0.927042 1.534574 2.399099
2025-05-04 0.008339 0.066242 0.210511 0.490805 0.944704 1.588830 2.513627
2025-05-11 0.006310 0.061469 0.207740 0.499754 0.979919 1.667865 2.662190
2025-05-18 0.004185 0.054437 0.198943 0.497331 0.997155 1.721494 2.776723
2025-05-25 0.002103 0.044390 0.181285 0.477374 0.985748 1.733579 2.834233
2025-06-01 0.001339 0.040614 0.177822 0.483060 1.014838 1.803925 2.972150
2025-06-08 0.000589 0.034354 0.166689 0.473203 1.018187 1.836604 3.058014
2025-06-15 0.000423 0.033800 0.170779 0.493006 1.070337 1.941201 3.244749
2025-06-22 0.000168 0.030013 0.165017 0.492818 1.089248 1.996930 3.363589
2025-06-29 0.000049 0.026882 0.160438 0.494548 1.111145 2.057126 3.489036